In the case of pre-war migrants, declarations of permanent residence decreased by 7 percentage points, while among refugees it increased slightly.
“Between pre-war migrants and refugees, there remains a difference in strategies for their future stay in Poland, although the percentage of the latter declaring a long-term stay in Poland has slightly increased. In the case of pre-war migrants, we can largely talk about settlement migration. 61% of pre-war migrants and 39% of refugees say they will stay in Poland permanently or for more than one year. Percentage of people who want to leave Poland for another country. Ukraine remains very low and the percentage of people who want to quickly return to Ukraine is decreasing. Among refugees in particular, there remains great uncertainty about the future, which is reflected in difficulties in determining how long their stay in Poland will last. Report “Life and Economic Situation of Migrants from Ukraine in Poland in 2023. Research Report”.
Families with children report their intention to stay in Poland permanently or for more than one year than other groups. On the other hand, older people (especially those over 60) are more likely to consider leaving Poland, according to the NBP.
“Predictions about the end of the war is a key factor influencing refugees' claims about their future. Economic factors such as labor market conditions and housing conditions are less important. In addition, marital status and age determine the attitude of migrants,” we read further.
How many Ukrainians will return home after the end of the war?
Research has shown that 51 percent are refugees states that if the war ends soon, they will return to Ukraine in 3 months, which is slightly lower than the one announced in 2022 (56%). In the case of pre-war migrants, 25 percent made such declarations. The respondents have the same percentage as in November 2022.
“Analysis of the plans of migrants from Ukraine, according to their marital status, in the event of a quick end to the war in Poland, confirms the thesis that families with children are the least likely to think of returning to Ukraine (10 percent of pre-war migrants and 40 percent of refugees). “Respondents without families in both groups of migrants also declared their intention to quickly return to Ukraine,” NBP wrote.
The survey of migrants from Ukraine was conducted in the period from May 8, 2023 to July 7, 2023. The survey was conducted in each voivodeship, in at least four of the eight specified categories (eg companies, offices, collective housing). points). The percentage of respondents in each of these places did not exceed 30%. A total of 3658 surveys were collected.
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