It will be three months after the October 15 elections. Donald Tusk's coalition and its coalition partners took over the government in Poland. However, it has recently been theorized that PiS could live for new, early elections. It's not a good idea, according to a new survey of political party support…
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In case of new elections, PiS has no chance
The study was conducted by IBRIS for one. And yes For PiS, that is, the party of Yaroslav Kaczynski I want to vote 34.2 percent asked. then this is it Donald Tusk's civil coalition with The result is 32 percent. Accordingly, the difference is only 2.2 percentage points.
turn it on The third way 14.1% want to vote. Poles. “It would be in the Seimas as well left 8.8 percent of the respondents' references are used,” reads Onet's website.
Confederation has a big problem. In the latest IBRIS poll, this party won only 5 percent. Support is an electoral threshold. No one else would get into the Seim. 5 percent of voters are undecided.
The survey was conducted on January 5-8, 2024 on a nationwide sample of 1,000. People by telephone, standardized computer-assisted interviews (CATI).
Is Kaczynski trying for early elections?
Recently there has also been a theory that Pis Jaroslaw Kaczynski might be “playing” for the overthrow of the new government and early elections. Among others, he spoke about this: Wroclaw University political scientist Prof. Anna Pacheshniak.
– Early elections would end badly for PiS, theoretically, Jaroslaw Kaczynski should not even think about them. However, in politics, things are different, although it seems that only the voters are irrational, and the political leader always keeps his cool. “I suspect that if a decision was made on early elections on Novogrodzka Street, Andrzej Duda will try to implement it under any pretext he can find, although failure will weigh on his account,” says the “GW” expert.
However, he emphasized that “Jaroslav Kaczynski still has such a strong position in the party that he could carry out a suicidal project.” – It seems to me that no, it is clearly losing its power, more and more energy is spent on defending its position in the party. He is publicly protested, which has never happened before. I think on January 11 we will see what Kaczynski's power is and what he can convince his supporters, he said.
Prof. Chvedoruk: PiS has recently lost its effectiveness
Let's add that Yakub Noch recently spoke in a series of interviews about the fact that everything is not going well in PiS. #TYLKONATEMAT Prof. Rafal Chvedoruk from the Faculty of Political Sciences and International Studies of the University of Warsaw.
– We must remember how important efficiency is as a measure in politics. And PiS has just lost most of its political power and has lost it for a long time, and no one can make the slightest guarantee. According to him, the crisis of this formation is structural and will not end in a few months.